Startlingly large amounts of methane are leaking from wells and pipelines in New Mexico, according to a new analysis of aerial data, suggesting that the oil and gas industry may be contributing more to climate change than was previously known.
The study, by researchers at Stanford University, estimates that oil and gas operations in New Mexico’s Permian Basin are releasing 194 metric tons per hour of methane, a planet-warming gas many times more potent than carbon dioxide. That is more than six times as much as the latest estimate from the Environmental Protection Agency.
The number came as a surprise to Yuanlei Chen and Evan Sherwin, the lead authors of the study, which was published in the journalEnvironmental Science & Technology.
“We spent really the past more than 2 years going backwards and forwards thinking of ways that we might be wrong and talking with other experts in the methane community,” said Sherwin, a postdoctoral research fellow in energy resources engineering at Stanford. “And at the end of that process, we realized that this was our best estimate of methane emissions in this region and this time, and we had to publish it.”
He and Chen, a PhD student in energy resources engineering, said they believed their results showed the necessity of surveying a large number of sites in order to accurately measure the environmental impact of oil and gas production.
The largest previous assessment of methane emissions from oil and gas in the United States, published in 2018, reviewed studies covering about 1,000 well sites, a tiny fraction of the more than 1 million active wells in the country. The new study, by contrast, used aerial data to examine nearly 27,000 sites from above: more than 90% of all wells in the New Mexico portion of the Permian Basin, which also extends into Texas.
The researchers also took measurements from each site on multiple occasions to account for the fact that operations, and therefore emissions, vary over time. Methane can be released by wells both on purpose, in a process known as venting, and through unintentional leaks from aging or faulty equipment.
They found that a small number of wells and pipelines accounted for “the vast majority” of methane leaks, Chen said, adding, “Comprehensive point source surveys find more high-consequence emission events, which drive total emissions.”